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Don't be evil? Are you sure?

It looks like The Indy has fired another broadside at Google over privacy concerns. In an admission that won't shock too many people, Eric Schmidt told a conference yesterday that the company's intention was to enable users to "ask the question such as 'What shall I do tomorrow?' and 'What job shall I take?'" There's some lovely wording in the article, not least the wonderful second paragraph suggesting Google has 'revealed details of how it intends to organise and control the world's information.'

It would be a bit of a laughable stitch-up job - if there wasn't a big chunk of truth to it. It's been said so many times before that it's hackneyed, but Google is in danger of becoming evil by mistake.

It's not just Google, either. Microsoft is playing around with way of identifying us as we surf (downloading YouTube video of Top Gear? Checking the footie scores? You're probably an office worker in his mid 30s with a health problem.) Danny Hillis is also keen on the idea of jolly big databases of everything.

There's a couple of problems with what the search bods are doing. Firstly, there's little discussion of how they will take into accounts the laws of various countries. From the Indy's article, it sounds as if the Information Commissioner's Office and the EU are playing catch-up - if indeed the search engines can be caught. Who is regulating who?

Secondly, although these engines will be seen as infalliable by many users, they are demonstrably incapable of accuracy. By that, I mean the sort of decision-making that Schmidt is talking about. While a great number of the factors helpful to choosing a job may be available to Google in the future, it won't have access to all of them. There is a danger inherent in relying too much on information from one source, or one type of source.

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Will Google acquire Experian?

So as the dust settles on the recent acquisitions in the ad serving market, with WPP buying 24/7 Real Media, Google buying DoubleClick, Microsoft buying aQuantive, AOL buying AdTech and Yahoo buying Right Media – what has really happened?

The answer is that these acquisitions indicate that targeted rich media and display advertising is the way forward and that the tipping point has now been reached away from TV to the Web and mobile.

These acquistions are both protective and aggressive – giving WPP, Google, Microsoft, AOL and Yahoo the ability to place ads on sites other than its own, measure the effectiveness of these ads and also target advertising based on users search queries, surfing habits and response to advertisements - behavioral targeting is coming of age. With the addition of huge resources now being made available to what was once was an ad serving cottage industry, one can assume rapid innovation and development.

Some consumer and privacy groups say the growing ability to collect information online is eroding privacy. Companies such as Google, Microsoft and Yahoo already collect data about users through their e-mail accounts, search queries and online calendars. Will these companies combine their data with the cookie and click stream analysis gathered by their new acquired ad serving firms to create detailed profiles on users Internet and search interests. The companies say that the data is anonymous and that users have the ability to opt out of having data collected about them, though privacy experts say that few people know they have that option, the advertisers also say that behavioral targeting will benefit consumers as it will target relevant advertising and not irrelevant junk to them, so giving the web user a better service.

An example of this is a consumer thinking of buying a car and visiting Yahoo Autos and looking at a Range Rover sport-utility vehicle, when the consumer leaves the page, checks Yahoo e-mail, Yahoo Sports and Yahoo stock quotes and logs off, these visits are tracked by a cookie. The next time the consumer is back on Yahoo Sports, Yahoo's proprietary behavioral-targeting platform can serve an ad for the SUV on that site. What ad serving companies do is segment their Web site partners' audiences into categories of users like car buyers, mountain bike enthusiasts, wine buffs, new mothers and then segment further, based on geography, sex and other criteria.


However what they lack is the ability to analyse and understand the actual financial position of a consumer, imagine the advantage of knowing if an online user has a good credit rating, is a homeowner, buys a new car every 3 years and currently has a 2 year old Volvo S80 estate, goes on 2 foreign holidays a year, has 2 children, buys goods regularly online, travels regularly between London and Paris, is an architect and earns over $100k per year.

Perhaps the next stage of behavioral targeting is to integrate consumer credit and marketing information. Experian maintains more detailed information about consumers than any single competitor in the information industry and operate 14 consumer credit bureaux and seven business credit bureaux around the world, with information on approximately 300 million consumers and 30 million businesses. They also compile and manage data on the histories of 600 million vehicles in the US and the UK, on 30 million insurance policies in the UK, on the catalogue purchasing habits of 110 million households in the US and consumer marketing information in respect of 130 million households globally.

So to gain competitive advantage, who will buy Experian? Will it be WPP, Google, Microsoft, AOL or Yahoo?

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Bloggers-in-chief

Daniel Griffin, IWR Deputy Editor Daniel Griffin, IWR Deputy Editor
Daniel joined IWR in 2006 after a career as a publisher of guides, supplements and websites for magazine and event companies. His special interest is the evolving publishing and information industry online.

Peter Williams, IWR Editor Peter Williams, IWR Editor
Peter is in his second spell on IWR. Over the last few years he has developed interest in the fields of knowledge management and e-learning, writing and editing extensively on both topics.

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